Early Look

Thursday, August 5, 2021

Futures	Up/Down	%	Last
Dow	55.00	0.16%	34,745
S&P 500	9.25	0.22%	4,404
Nasdaq	33.50	0.22%	15,107

 

 

U.S. futures are looking up modestly, rising roughly about 0.2% across the board into one of the heaviest days of corporate earnings of the season, as major averages continue to hold not far off record highs. The S&P 500 index has held the pivotal 4,400 level for over a week now, as overall major averages have moved sideways for two or three weeks now, bolstered by rising on better economic data, earnings results, and an accommodative Fed, which has offset rising Delta variant concerns and fears of further global restrictions to contain the rise in cases and tighter government restrictions in China. Oil prices edge higher after sliding sharply the last 3-days on demand concerns. Bitcoin prices are down about 4% holding just above the $38,000 level while Ethereum slips nearly 4% to 2,600 in the crypto sector. Ahead of tomorrow’s nonfarm payrolls report, investors will get two more labor market data points with the Challenger jobs report at 7:30 and the weekly jobless claims. Euro Stoxx 50 rises 0.5% around best levels for the week. Wednesday’s after-hours big-name earnings were disappointing for the most part, which could weigh on sentiment. Major averages ended the session mixed on Wednesday, following conflicting signals on the economy that showed a hot services sector, but a labor market that continues to struggle to find workers. The Institute for Supply Management survey on Wednesday jumped to a record high of 64.1 in July, but the ADP Employment Report showed private payrolls only rose by 330,000 last month, well shy of the 695,000 estimate ahead of tomorrow’s payrolls. The Dow Jones saw the biggest fall, dragged lower by a decline of more than 6% in Amgen in the wake of its quarterly results, accounting for about 103 points to the downside while energy was the weakest sector on the day, suffering its biggest daily percentage drop since July 19. In Asian markets, The Nikkei Index gained 144 points to 27,728, the Shanghai Index dipped -10 points to 3,466 and the Hang Seng Index declined -221 points (0.84%) to settle at 26,204. In Europe, markets are little changed as the German DAX is up a few points at the 15,700 level, while the FTSE 100 is down a couple of points at 7.120.

Market Closing Prices Yesterday

·     The S&P 500 Index slipped -20.49 points, or 0.46%, to 4,402.66

·     The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell -323.73 points, or 0.92%, to 34,792.67

·     The Nasdaq Composite edged higher 19.24 points, or 0.13%, to 14,780.53

·     The Russell 2000 Index declined -27.26 points, or 1.23% to 2,196.32

 

Events Calendar for Today

·     7:30 AM ET         Challenger Job Layoffs for July

·     8:30 AM ET         Weekly Jobless Claims

·     8:30 AM EST      Continuing Claims

·     10:30 AM ET      Weekly EIA Natural Gas Inventory Data

 

Earnings Calendar:

·     Earnings Before the Open: ABMD, ADNT, AES, AHCO, AKBA, AMRS, ARWR, AVEO, BBGI, BCRX, BDX, BERY, BKI, BLDR, BLL, BV, CAH, CARS, CCOI, CHH, CI, CNP, COMM, CRAI, DDOG, DIN, DLX, DUK, ECOM, EPAM, EPC, EVRG, FOUR, GCP, GNL, GOGO, GOLF, GTN, HBI, HBIO, HII, HL, IDCC, INSM, IRM, IRWD, ITI, K, KPTI, LAMR, LAUR, LNG, LXP, MMS, MPLN, MRNA, MUR, MYE, NINE, NS, NTLA, PCTY, PBH, PBPB, PEI, PENN, PH, PNW, PPL, PRTY, PWR, PZZA, RC, RDUS, REGN, ROLL, SEAS, SSYS, TEN, THS, TRGP, UFS, USPH, VG, VIAC, VST, W, WD, WOW, WRK, XEC, XERS, XTNT, XXII, YETI, ZIXI, ZTS

·     Earnings After the Close: AAOI, AEE, AEL, AIG, AINV, ALRM, ALTR, AMBC, APLE, APPN, ARNA, ASTG, AVLR, AXON, BAND, BECN, BGS, BHF, BIGC, BKD, BL, BRBR, BRKS, BYND, CARG, CDXS, CGNX, CHRS, CHUY, CLNE, CNXN, COLD, CSOD, CVNA, CWK, DBX, DHX, DIOD, EB, ECOR, EGLE, ENTA, ENV, ERII, EXEL, EXPE, FEYE, FLDM, FLS, FND, FOXF, FSR, FTSI, G, GDYN, GEOS, GH, GKOS, GPRO, GRPN, GSBD, HASI, HCAT, HCI, HEAR, HTA, IFF, ILMN, IHRT, IOVA, IRTC, ITT, JCOM, KALA, KAMN, LGF.A, LNT, LOCO, LTHM, MAIN, MDRX, MNST, MP, MSI, MTW, MTZ, NET, NKTR, NVAX, NWSA, NYMT, OLED, OUT, PBYI, PK, PODD, POST, PRA, QDEL, RAMP, RDFN, REZI, RMD, RUN, SFM, SGMO, SHAK, SPCE, SQ, SYNA, TDC, TGH, TMDX, TMST, TRUE, TRUP, TTOO, VLDR, VMEO, VOYA, VV, WSC, Y, YELP, ZEUS, ZG, ZNGA

 

 

Macro	Up/Down	Last
Nymex	0.37	68.52
Brent	0.26	70.64
Gold	0.40	1,811.75
EUR/USD	0.0005	1.1842
JPY/USD	0.03	109.51
10-Year Note	-0.004	1.19%

 

 

Sector News Breakdown

Consumer

·     Boot Barn (BOOT) Q1 EPS $1.35 vs est. $0.88 in revs $306.3M vs est. $288.9M; same-store sales +78.9% vs 1Q20, +52.3% vs 1Q19; opened 3 new stores in the quarter

·     Costco (COST) reported total comparable sales for July of +13.8%; July U.S. comparable sales excluding fuel, currencies +8.5%

·     E.L.F. Beauty (ELF) 1Q EPS $0.15 vs est. $0.15 on sales $97Mm vs est. $79.3Mm; guides FY adj EPS $0.65-0.68 vs est. $0.67, sees FY sales $356-364Mm vs est. $350.5Mm

·     Etsy Inc. (ETSY) shares tumble -13% on guidance; 2Q EPS $0.68 vs est. $0.63 on revs $528.9Mm vs est. $524.7Mm, qtrly consolidated GMS $3.0B +13%; guides 3Q revs $500-525Mm vs est. $524.7Mm, sees 3Q GMS $2.9-3.0B

·     Frontdoor Inc. (FTDR) Q2 EPS $0.76 vs est. $0.63 on revs $462M vs est. $466M, sees Q3 revenue $470M-$480M, lowered FY revenue outlook to $1.6B-$1.62B (est. $1.64B) from $1.63B-$1.65B

·     Jack in the Box (JACK) Q3 EPS $1.79 vs est. $1.49 on revs $269.5M vs est. $258.5M, same-store sales +10.2%, systemwide sales +10.6%, company-operated same-store sales +9.0%, sees FY21 capex $40M-$45M, FY22 capex $65M-$75M

·     Leslie’s (LESL) Q3 adj EPS $0.64 vs. est. $0.55; Q3 revs $596.54M vs. est. $570.37M; Q3 comparable sales growth of 23.9%; raises FY21 adjusted EPS view 80c-85c from 75c-80c (est. 77c) and boosts FY21 revs to $1.31B-$1.33B from $1.28B-$1.3B (est. $1.3B); Adjusted EBITDA of $179.3 million compared to $119.8 million in the prior year quarter, an increase of 49.7%

·     MGM Resorts (MGM) 2Q adj EPS ($0.13) vs est. ($0.30) on net revs $2.3B vs est. $2.28B, MGM China net revs $311Mm, LV Strip net revs $1.0B, regional net revs $856Mm

·     Rent-A-Center (RCII) 2Q adj EPS $1.63 vs est. $1.35 on revs $1.2B vs est. $1.14B, qtrly comps +16.6% led by e-comm; guides FY revs $4.55-4.67B vs est. $4.56B, sees Rent-A-Center segment revs $2.02-2.06B, sees FY adj EPS $5.90-6.40 vs est. $5.66; announces $250Mm repurchase auth

·     Uber (UBER) Q2 EPS $0.58 on revs $3.93B vs. est. $3.74B; Q2 gross bookings grew 114% yoy to $21.9 billion, or 104% on a constant currency basis, with Mobility Gross Bookings of $8.6 billion and Delivery Gross Bookings of $12.9 billion; Q2 Adj EBITDA Loss $509M vs. est. loss $324.5M; sees Q3 Adj EBITDA loss below $100M vs. est. loss $95.4M

·     Wynn Resorts (WYNN) 2Q adj EPS ($1.12) vs est. ($1.61) on revs $990.1Mm vs est. $932.5Mm, Wynn Macau revs $184Mm, LV ops revs $355.1Mm

·     ADT Inc. (ADT) adj EPS ($0.07) vs est. $0.25 on revs $1.304B vs est. $1.28B; Gross recurring monthly revenue (RMR) additions grew 28%; end of period RMR of $352 million increased by 4%; solid customer retention with attrition at 13.3%

·     Driven Brands (DRVN) 12M share Secondary priced at $29.50

·     European Wax Center (EWCZ) 10.6M share IPO priced at $17.00

·     Weber (WEBR) 18M (which was cut down from 46.8M) share IPO priced at $14.00

 

Energy

·     APA Inc. (APA) Q2 adj EPS $0.70 vs. est. $0.57’ Q2 revs $1.75B vs. est. $1.46B; qtrly adjusted production, which excludes Egypt noncontrolling interest and tax barrels, was 342,000 boe per day; at current strip prices, we expect to generate approximately $1.7B of free cash flow this year

·     Earthstone Energy (ESTE) files for offering of up to 6.2 mln shares of class a common stock by selling stockholders

·     Marathon Oil (MRO) Q2 EPS $0.22 vs. est. $0.15; Q2 revs $1.14B vs. est. $1.09B; Q2 oil-equivalent production of 348,000 net boed; raising 2021 full year oil-equivalent production guidance by 5,000 net boed; Q2 oil production of 170,000 net bopd; raised quarterly base dividend by 25% to 5c; raising the midpoint of its 2021 full year U.S. oil-equivalent production guidance by 5,000 net boed

·     Warrior Met Coal (HCC) 2Q adj EPS $0.25 vs est. ($0.18) on revs $227.4Mm vs est. $128.3Mm; not providing FY guide at this time

·     Whiting Petroleum (WLL) Q2 adj EPS $3.01 vs. est. $1.97; Q2 revs $352M vs. est. $244.27M; said generated net cash provided by operating activities of $183M and $111M in adjusted free cash flow during the quarter and over $200 million through six months; raises FY21 production view to 88-92 MBOE per day from 82-88

 

Financials

·     Allstate Corp. (ALL) Q2 adj EPS $3.79 vs. est. $3.04; Q2 revs $12.65B vs. est. $10.51B; announces new $5B repurchase program; 2Q Book Value Per Shr $86.33; Q2 Catastrophe Loss $952M; Q2 Property-Liability Premiums Earned $10.01B; 2Q Property-Liability Premiums Written $10.32B;2Q Property-Liability Combined Ratio 95.7

·     Fleetcor (FLT) Q2 EPS $2.30 vs est. $2.94, adj EPS $3.15, on revs $667.4M vs est. $637.3M; its board increased its share repurchase authorization by$1B; sees Q3 adj EPS $3.35-$3.55 vs est. $3.36, and raised outlook for FY adj EPS to $12.80-$13 (est. $12.61) from $12.32-$12.88 and FY revs to $2.74B-$2.79B (est. $2.68B) from $2.6B-$2.7B

·     Lemonade (LMND) Q2 EPS loss (-$0.90) vs. est. loss (-$0.89); Q2 revs $28.2M vs. est. $26.8M; customer count increased by 48% to 1,206,172 yoy; premium per customer, defined as in force premium divided by customers, was $246 at the end of the second quarter, up 29% yoy; raises FY21 revenue view to $123M-$125M from $117M-$120M (est. $118.94M); narrows FY21 adjusted EBITDA view to ($173M)-($169M) from ($173M)-($163M)

·     Lincoln National (LNC) Q2 adj operating EPS $3.17 vs. est. $2.35; Q2 revs $4.85B vs. est. $4.72B; Reports book value per share, including AOCI, of $115.00, up 7%; BVPS, excluding AOCI, of $75.45, up 9%

·     MetLife (MET) announces new $3B share repurchase authorization; Q2 adj EPS $2.37 vs. est. $1.57; Q2 revs $18.52M vs. est. $15.77B; qtrly premiums, fees & other revenues $11.22 bln vs $10.49 bln; qtrly net investment income $5.28 bln vs $4.09 bln; book value of $75.86 per share at qtr-end, down 4% from $78.65 per share at June 30, 2020

·     RE/MAX Holdings (RMAX) 2Q adj EPS $0.63 vs est. $1.31 on revs $77.2Mm vs est. $76.4Mm; guides 3Q revs $86.5-91.5Mm vs est. $79.1Mm; sees FY revs $321-336Mm vs est. $308.7Mm

·     Western Union (WU) Q2 adj EPS $0.48 vs. est. $0.47; Q2 revs $1.3B vs. est. $1.26B; reaffirms FY21 adj EPS view $2.00-$2.10 vs. est. $2.06; reaffirms FY21 revenue growth view mid-to-high single digits; Consumer-to-Consumer (C2C) transactions increased 15% in the quarter, while revenues increased 15% on a reported basis, or 12% constant currency.

·     Robinhood (HOOD) filed with the SEC a prospectus related to the offer and sale from time to time of up to 97,876,033 shares of Class A common stock of Robinhood Markets, Inc. by certain selling stockholders

 

Healthcare

·     Moderna (MRNA) Q2 EPS $6.46 vs. est. $6.04; Q2 revs $4.4B vs. est. $4.28B; expects dose capacity for its covid-19 vaccine in fy 2021 to be between 800 mln and 1 bln doses; advance purchase agreements signed for expected product sales of $20 bln in 2021, including sales already recorded in 6 months ended June 30; signed agreements for $12 bln worth of sales for covid-19 vaccine in 2022, option for about $8 bln more; continue to expect $450 mln -$550 mln of capital investments for 2021

·     Cigna (CI) Q2 adj EPS $5.24 vs. est. $4.96; Q2 revs $43.13B vs. est. $41.31B; pharmacy customer base at Q2 grew to 101.9M, an organic increase of 3.1M year to date; total medical customer base at Q2 was 17M, an increase of 279,000 customers YTD; Q2 profit overall fell -16% hurt by higher medical costs; backs year EPS but ups its rev guidance to at least $170B from $166B

·     Nevro (NVRO) slides after withdrawing FY forecast on COVID-19 concerns and guided Q3 sales between $90M-$93M which is below analyst estimates of $114.7M

·     Regeneron Pharma (REGN) phase 3 Trial of Libtayo combined with chemotherapy stopped early due to significant improvement in overall survival in patients with first-line advanced non-small cell lung cancer

·     Abiomed (ABMD) Q1 adj EPS $1.10 vs. est. $1.05; Q1 revs $252.6M vs. est. $240.91M; raises FY22 revenue view to $1.03B-$1.05B from prior $990M-$1.03B (22%-24% growth); expects its fiscal year 2022 non-GAAP operating margin to be in the range of 24% to 26%

·     Amedisys (AMED) announces new $100M share repurchase program; Q2 adj EPS $1.69 vs. est. $1.67; Q2 revs $564.2M vs. est. $566.19M; guides 2021 adj EPS $6.37-$6.49 vs. est. $6.96; sees 2021 adj net service revenue $2.23B-$2.245B.

·     Evolent Health (EVH) 2Q EPS ($0.11) vs est. ($0.04) on revs $222.1Mm vs est. $216.9Mm; guides 3Q revs $215-230Mm vs est. $217.7Mm, sees FY revs $870-900Mm vs est. $870.8Mm; announces agreement to acquire Vital Decisions outstanding equity interests for aggregate price up to $130Mm, says transaction is accretive to EBITDA/share before synergies

·     McKesson (MCK) Q1 adj EPS $5.56 vs. est. $4.15; Q1 revs $62.7B vs. est. $59.99B; raises FY22 adj EPS view to $19.80-$20.40 from prior view $18.85-$19.45 (est. $19.23)

·     1life Healthcare, Inc. (ONEM) Q2 EPS loss (-$0.30) vs. est. loss (-$0.20); Q2 revs $120.4M vs. est. $115.7M; sees Q3 revs $113M-$120M vs. est. $118M; sees year revs $475M-$485M vs. est. $482.3M; Membership count as of quarter-end was 621,000 compared to 475,000, a 31% increase; Adjusted EBITDA was positive $6.9 million, or 6% of net revenue

·     Sarepta Therapeutics (SRPT) Q2 non-GAAP EPS loss (-$1.52) vs. est. loss (-$1.26); net product sales for q2 reached $141.8 mln, a 27% increase over same quarter of prior year; raises full-year product revenue guidance by nearly $30 mln to between $565 mln to $575 mln

·     Tandem Diabetes (TNDM) 2Q revs $172.1Mm vs est. $143.4Mm; guides FY sales $670-685Mm vs est. $637Mm; guides FY adj EBITDA mgn about 15% vs est. 13.5%

 

Industrials & Materials

·     Albemarle (ALB) Q2 adj EPS $0.89 vs. est. $0.83; Q2 revs $773.9M vs. est. $788.6M; qtrly lithium net sales of $320.3 mln increased $36.6 mln yoy primarily driven by higher volumes; full-year 2021 net sales guidance improved vs previous guidance primarily due to increased lithium sales, improving catalysts trends – sees year sales $3.3B-$3.4B vs. est. $3.24B

·     Hillenbrand (HI) 3Q adj EPS $0.85 vs est. $0.76 on revs $695Mm; guides 4Q adj EPS $0.82-0.92 vs est. $0.85, sees 4Q revs $713-738Mm vs est. $709.1Mm

·     Maxar Technologies (MAXR) 2Q EPS $0.60 vs est. $0.14 on revs $473Mm vs est. $441.5Mm

·     Summit Materials (SUM) 2Q EPS $0.48 vs est. $0.52 on revs $618.5Mm vs est. $647.1Mm; no change to FY guide

·     Valvoline (VVV) Q3 adj EPS $0.55 vs. est. $0.45; Q3 revs $792M vs. est. $745.32M; Q3 retail Services system-wide same-store sales grew 40.5%; Q3 same-store sales rose 27%; sees FY sales growth 25%-26% and FCF $250M-$270M

 

Media & Telecom

·     Fox Corp. (FOXA) Q4 adj EPS $0.65 vs. est. $0.57; Q4 revs $2.89B vs. est. $2.75B; raises semi-annual dividend to 24c; cable network programming reported quarterly segment revenues of $1.40B, an increase of $128M; affiliate revenues increased 10% with 16% growth at the television segment and 6% growth at the cable network programming segment in q4

·     Roku Inc. (ROKU) Q2 EPS 52c vs est. 13c on revs $645M vs est. $618.4M, average rev per user $36.46 (+46% YoY), active accounts 55.1M vs est. 55.8M; at midpoint of Q3 guidance, sees revs $675M-$685M vs est. $645M, gross profit $315M-$325M, adj EBITDA $60M-$70M, net income (-$3M)-$7M, anticipates sequential increases in operating expenses in 2H from investments in headcount, product development, and sales & marketing

 

Technology

·     Amdocs Ltd. (DOX) 3Q adj EPS $1.35 vs est. $1.18 on revs $1.066B vs est. $1.06B; guides 4Q adj EPS $1.13-1.19 vs est. $1.28, sees 4Q revs $1.065-1.105B vs est. $1.087B

·     Booking Holdings (BKNG) 2Q adj EPS ($2.55) vs est. ($2.04) on revs $2.2B vs est. $1.9B, encouraged by sequential improvement in booking trends with 2Q room nights +59% vs 1Q; said in in q2, we saw the first sequential increase in the number of properties on booking.com and lowest number of properties coming off of our platform since the onset of the covid-19 pandemic

·     DXC Technology (DXC) Q1 adj EPS $0.84 vs. est. $0.74; Q1 revs $4.14B vs. est. $4.11B; Q2 guidance falls short of views but backs year EPS view $3.45-$3.65 vs. est. $3.56 and backs FY22 revenue view $16.6B-$16.8B (est. $16.74B); Bookings of $4.6 billion and book-to-bill ratio of 1.12x in Q1 FY22

·     Electronic Arts (EA) Q1 EPS $0.71 vs. est. $0.62; Q1 net bookings $1.336B vs. est. $1.28B; sees Q2 EPS roughly $0.36 vs. est. $1.07; sees Q2 net bookings $1.725B vs. est. $1.62B; raises FY22 EPS view to $1.58 from $1.34 and ups FY21 bookings view to $7.4B from $7.3B

·     Fastly Inc. (FSLY) shares fall -18%; Q2 adj EPS ($$0.15) vs est. ($0.17) on revs $85.03M vs est. $85.7M, sees Q3 EPS loss (21c)-(18c) vs est. (18c) on revs $82M-$85M vs est. $97.9M, and forecasts FY EPS (65c)-(57c) vs est. (43c) on revs $340M-$350M vs est. $382.5M

·     GoDaddy (GDDY) Q2 EPS $0.27 vs. est. $0.32; Q2 revs $931.3M vs. est. $919.7M; total bookings of $1.055B, up 12.7% year over year, or 10.6% on a constant currency basis; Domains revenue of $436.7 million, up 18.2% yoy; Hosting and presence revenue of $318.5 million, up 9.0% yoy; Business applications revenue of $176.1 million, up 21.8% yoy; sees year revs $3.75B, in-line

·     HubSpot (HUBS) 2Q adj EPS $0.43 vs est. $0.32 on revs $310.8Mm vs est. $296Mm; guides 3Q adj EPS $0.42-0.44 vs est. $0.39, sees 3Q revs $325-327Mm vs est. $318.7Mm; guides FY revs $1.268-1.272B vs est. $1.244B

·     MercadoLibre (MELI) Q2 EPS $1.37 vs est. $0.19 on revs $1.7B vs est. $1.48B with commerce revs +96.4% YoY and fintech revs +88.9%; unique active users 75.9M in quarter (+47.4% YoY), total payment volume through Mercado Pago topped $17.5B (+56.3% in USD), gross merchandise volume $7B (+39.2% in USD)

·     Ping Identity (PING) 2Q adj EPS $0.11 vs est. $0.04 on revs $78.9Mm vs est. $66.1Mm; guides 3Q revs $65-70Mm vs est. $65.1Mm, sees 3Q total ARR $286-288Mm; guides FY revs $278-285Mm vs est. $269.3Mm, sees FY total ARR $304-306Mm

·     Qorvo (QRVO) Q1 EPS $2.83 vs. est. $2.45; Q1 revs $1.11B vs. est. $1.08B; sees Q2 EPS $3.24 at midpoint vs. est. $3.02; sees Q2 revenue $1.24B-$1.26B vs. est. $1.21B

·     Trimble Inc. (TRMB) Q2 adj EPS $0.72 vs. est. $0.59; Q2 revs $945.3M vs. est. $867.8M; sees FY21 adj EPS $2.45-$2.65 vs. est. $2.45; sees FY21 adjusted revenue $3.55B-$3.65B vs. est. $3.48B; Q2 annualized recurring revenue (ARR) was $1.35 billion, up 11% yoy

·     Western Digital (WDC) 4Q adj EPS $2.16 vs est. $1.51 on revs $4.9B vs est. $4.55B; guides 1Q revs $4.9-5.1B vs est. $4.9B, sees 1Q adj EPS $2.25-2.55 vs est. $2.05