Early Look
Tuesday, August 17, 2021
Futures |
Up/Down |
% |
Last |
Dow |
-221.00 |
0.62% |
35,313 |
S&P 500 |
-21.25 |
0.49% |
4,452 |
Nasdaq |
-59.50 |
0.39% |
15,075 |
U.S. equity-index futures are looking lower this morning, while global stocks have fallen for a second day amid several market concerns. U.S. major averages hit record highs (S&P 500 and Dow record high closes for a 5th straight session) on Monday as investors moved into defensive sectors (Healthcare, Staples, Utilities) and stocks recovered from losses earlier in the session, shaking off glum economic data out of China and the U.S., but start the day on shaky ground yet again. Several factors playing into the morning decline including: 1) concerns that more lockdowns could be needed to contain the coronavirus pandemic; 2) Treasury yields fall ahead of an address by Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell on the health of the world’s largest economy; 3) Dow component Home Depot (HD) reports a top and bottom-line beat, but weaker-than-expected comp sales drag shares lower; 4) Federal Reserve Bank President Eric Rosengren said Monday he could be prepared to begin rolling back economic stimulus this fall. But he said he wouldn’t boost interest rates until the employment picture improves; 5) China markets tumble following another regulatory crackdown after China published detailed rules to tackle unfair competition and companies’ handling of critical data; the draft regulations ban unfair competition and restrict the use of user data. Investors were also digesting news from Afghanistan, where thousands of civilians desperate to flee the country thronged Kabul airport after the Taliban seized the capital. Asian stocks retreat for fourth day as the Hang Seng and Shanghai Composite lose ground after China issues draft rules targeting unfair online competition. The Kosdaq sinks 2.3% as Korean selloff resumes following Monday’s holiday. The Nikkei Index fell -98 points to 27,424, the Shanghai Index tumbled -70 points (or 2%) to 3,446 and the Hang Seng Index declined -435 points (1.66%) to 25,745. In Europe, the German DAX is down around -40 points to 15,885, while the FTSE 100 is up a few points to 7,165. Wal-Mart earnings expected later this morning as well.
Market Closing Prices Yesterday
· The S&P 500 Index gained 11.71 points, or 0.26%, to 4,479.71
· The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 110.02 points, or 0.31%, to 35,625.40
· The Nasdaq Composite slumped -29.13 points, or 0.20%, to 14,793.76
· The Russell 2000 Index declined -19.69 points, or 0.89% to 2,203.41
Events Calendar for Today
· 7:45 AM ET ICSC Weekly Retail Sales
· 8:30 AM ET Advance Retail Sales MoM for July…est. (-0.02%)
· 8:30 AM ET Retail Sales Ex; Autos MoM for July…est. 0.1%
· 8:55 AM ET Johnson/Redbook Weekly Sales
· 9:15 AM ET Industrial Production MoM for July…est. 0.5%
· 9:15 AM ET Capacity Utilization for July…est. 75.7%
· 10:00 AM ET Business Inventories MoM for June…est. 0.8%
· 10:00 AM ET NAHB Housing Market Index for Aug…est. 80
· 4:30 PM ET API Weekly Inventory Data
Earnings Calendar:
· Earnings Before the Open: AIT, CRTD, HD, OB, PINC, WMT
· Earnings After the Close: A, CDK, CREE, CRMT, DNUT, INST, JKHY, LZB
Other Key Events:
· EnerCom Oil & Gas Conference (virtual), 8/15-8/18
· BWS Financial Growth and Value Conference (virtual), 8/16-8/17
· Needham MedTech and Diagnostics Conference (virtual), 8/16-8/17
· Truist Atlanta Bank Summit (virtual) 8/16-8/17
· Davidson West Coast Bank Tour (virtual), 8/17-8/18
· Deutsche bank Transportation Conference (virtual), 8/17-8/18
Macro |
Up/Down |
Last |
Nymex |
-0.33 |
66.96 |
Brent |
-0.23 |
69.28 |
Gold |
6.55 |
1,794.00 |
EUR/USD |
-0.0012 |
1.1766 |
JPY/USD |
0.05 |
109.29 |
10-Year Note |
-0.027 |
1.23% |
World News
· The Fed’s Rosengren said last night his preference would be to start tapering bond purchases in the fall, potentially October or November, no later than December; says if we get another strong labor market report, he would be supportive of announcing taper program in September
·
Sector News Breakdown
Consumer
· Home Depot (HD) shares fall -4% on comp sales miss; Q2 EPS $4.53 vs. est. $4.43; Q2 revs $41.12B vs. est. $40.73B; Q2 comp sales rose 4.5% below est. 5.6% and comparable sales in the U.S. increased 3.4% vs. est. 4.9%; number of customer transactions declined by 5.8% YoY to 481.7 million, but the average ticket size grew 11% to $82.48
· Stanley Black & Decker (SWK) agreed to acquire the remaining 80% ownership stake in MTD Holdings Inc., a privately held global manufacturer of outdoor power equipment, for $1.6 billion in cash
· Gan Ltd. (GAN) Q2 EPS loss (-$0.07) vs. est. loss (-$0.01); Q2 revs $34.6M vs. est. $34.53M; sequential revenue growth of 24%, driven by strong international results in b2c segment; reiterates revenue guidance of $125 – $135 million, or 270% YoY growth at the mid-point; backs FY21 revenue view of $125M-$135M
· Lightning eMotors (ZEV) Q2 EPS loss (-$0.79) vs. est. loss (-$0.14); Q2 revs $5.9M vs. est. $5.37M; sees Q3 revs $4M-$6M vs. est. $10.58M; sees Q3 adjusted loss from operations $12M-$13M; no longer expects to meet full year guidance; said no orders have been cancelled and company expects to fulfill those orders in future quarters; sees for qtr ending sept 30, vehicle and powertrain sales of 28 units to 40 units
· Elys Game Technology (ELYS) Q2 revenue $11.7M vs est $10.89M; 2Q Betting Handle +134% YoY to $220.1M; Q2 GGR +153.8% YoY to $14.9M; Q2 total revenue +143% YoY to $11.7M
· Spirit Airlines (SAVE) said it expects total operating revenues in the range of $885M – $955M vs. $1.05B consensus and adjusted operating expenses between $1,030M and $1,040M; expects a negative revenue impact of ~50M from 2,826 flight cancellations between July 30 and August 9, due to airport staffing shortages and adverse weather; also noted softer-than-expected booking trends and increased close-in guest cancellations, likely due to a resurgence in COVID-19 cases
Energy, Industrials and Materials
· Ammo Inc. (POWW) Q1 adj EPS $0.13 on revs $44.5M, up 360%; says raising 2022 revenue guidance from $190M to $210M, including reiterating our expectation for Q2 revenue of at least $51M and sees Q3 revs about $60M; increasing our Adjusted EBITDA guidance for fiscal 2022 from $65M to $70M
· Clean Energy Fuels Corp. (CLNE) announced a slew of new deals in response to the demand for renewable natural gas (RNG), a fuel produced from organic waste, as more fleets adopt and expand their use of the low-carbon transportation fuel. RNG represents more than 74 percent of the 26 million gallons of fuel Clean Energy expects to provide through these recent signed agreements. Clean Energy has a stated goal of providing 100 percent zero-carbon renewable fuel at its stations by 2025.
Financials
· Opendoor Technologies inc. (OPEN) announces proposed convertible senior notes offering
Healthcare
· Berkshire Hathaway reduced its stakes in large cap Pharma names Merck (MRK) by 48.8% to 9.2M shares, AbbVie (ABBV) by 10.2% to 20.5M shares and Bristol-Myers (BMY) by 15.3% to 26.3M shares and exited shares in Biogen (BIIB) according to 13F filings
· The Biden administration is planning to announce that most Americans who have received the coronavirus vaccine will need booster shots eight months after being fully vaccinated as the delta variant sparks a surge in Covid-19 cases – Washington Post
· Eli Lilly and Company (LLY) today announced executive leadership changes and the creation of neuroscience and immunology business units. These changes will increase Lilly’s focus on introducing breakthrough new medicines to millions of people with unmet needs.
· Incyte (INCY) and InnoCare announced that Incyte and a subsidiary of InnoCare have entered into a collaboration and license agreement for the development and commercialization of tafasitamab, a humanized Fc-modified cytolytic CD19 targeting monoclonal antibody, in China
· Clovis (CLVS) renews at-the-market equity program with $125M offering
· Globus Medical (GMED) announced that Excelsius3D, an intelligent intraoperative 3-in-1 imaging system, has been granted 510(k) clearance by the FDA
· Solid Biosciences Inc. (SLDB) ends q2 with about $249 mln cash and investments; cash runway into q4 2022; said net loss for Q2 of 2021 was $18.7M vs. $19.0M for Q2 of 2020
Technology, Media & Telecom
· Roblox Corp. (RBLX) shares fall -6%; Q2 EPS loss (-$0.25) vs. est. $0.24; Q2 revs $454.1M vs. est. $689.2M; qtrly bookings increased 35% over q2 2020 to $665.5M; qtrly average daily active users (DAUs) were 43.2 mln, an increase of 29%; qtrly average bookings per DAU was $15.41, a slight increase year over year
· Chinese stocks listed in the U.S. (BIDU, BABA, DIDI, JD, NTES) fall in premarket trading following Beijing’s latest moves to tighten its grip on the nation’s internet giants and after SEC Chair Gary Gensler issued his most direct warning yet about the risks of investing in Chinese companies
· Sea Limited (SE) Q2 EPS loss (-$0.61) vs. est. loss (-$0.52); Q2 revs $2.3B vs. est. $1.93B; digital entertainment active users 725.2 million, +45% y/y; digital entertainment paying users 92.2 million, +85% y/y; said is raising the guidance for both digital entertainment and e-commerce for the full year of 2021. We expect bookings for digital entertainment to be between $4.5 billion and $4.7 billion, representing 44.4% growth from 2020 at the midpoint of the revised guidance
· Fabrinet (FN) Q4 Non-GAAP EPS $1.31 vs. est. $1.22; Q4 revs $509.6M vs. est. $487.5M; sees Q1 revs $510M-$530M vs. est. $491.5M
· Telos Corp. (TLS) Q2 adj EPS $0.04 vs. est. $0.02; Q2 revs $52.56M vs. est. $53.7M; backs FY21 rev view to $283M-$295M vs. est. $288.75M; said sees FY21 adjusted EBITDA $33M-$36M.
· Upstart Holdings, inc. (UPST) announces proposed private offering of $575,000,000 of convertible senior notes due 2026
· Global-e Online (GLBE) Q2 EPS (2c) vs 2 est’s 0c; Q2 rev $57.3M vs est $47.6M; Q2 adjusted EBITDA $7.6M vs. $3.1M YoY; sees Q3 rev $54.3M-$56.3M vs $48.4M; sees Q3 adj EBITDA $2.8M-$3.8M and GMV of $328M-$338M; raises FY21 rev view to $227M- $231M from $209M-$213.5M vs est $210.95M; raises FY21 GMV view to $1.35B-$1.37B from $1.21B-$1.255B
Market commentary provided by Hammerstone Markets, Inc, a firm separate from and not affiliated with Regal Securities. Regal Securities has not participated in the creation of the content, and does not explicitly or implicitly endorse the content.