Morning Preview: July 19, 2021

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Early Look

Monday, July 19, 2021

Futures

Up/Down

%

Last

Dow

-358.00

1.04%

34,206

S&P 500

-32.25

0.74%

4,286

Nasdaq

-55.50

0.38%

14,615

 

 

U.S. stock markets are looking lower as S&P futures fall -0.7% as rising Covid case rates and recent technology underperformance weigh on risk sentiment. In Asian markets, the Hang Seng falls as much as 2.2%, the Nikkei drops 1.4% and the Shanghai Composite slips -0.3%. In Europe, the rise of the rapidly-spreading Delta variant is threatening to derail many efforts towards a full economic reopening as worsening outbreaks continue to cloud the once-promising outlook. The German DAX is down 2% (over 300 points) to 15,225, while the FTSE 100 drops 2% to 6,870. The Dollar Index (DXY) rises for third day while yen strengthens below 110/USD amid risk aversion. The Aussie dollar falls to seven-month low and AUD 10-year yield drops after Victoria extends lockdown and Sydney again tightens restrictions amid worsening delta outbreak. Oil drops over -2.5% as WTI crude slips below the $70 per barrel level after OPEC and its allies struck a deal to inject more oil into the global economy. Treasury 10-year yield eases to 1.25% as relentless bond rally continues. Stocks finished lower Friday after surging inflation led to an unexpected decline in U.S. consumer sentiment in early July. For the week, the Dow fell 0.5%, the S&P 500 declined 1% and the Nasdaq dropped 1.9%. Stocks snapped their three-week losing streak with sharp declines on Friday, with defensive stocks leading the weekly gains with utilities, staples and REITs (reached a record high), while energy got slammed down over 7%, followed by a drop in discretionary and materials. In corporate news this weekend, Zoom Media (ZM) announced a +$14B acquisition of Five9 Inc. (FIVN) in the software space on Sunday ahead of a busy week of earnings.

 

Market Closing Prices Yesterday

·     The S&P 500 Index dropped -32.87 points, or 0.75%, to 4,327.16

·     The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell -299.15 points, or 0.86%, to 34,687.85

·     The Nasdaq Composite slumped-115.86 points, or 0.80%, to 14,427.24

·     The Russell 2000 Index declined -27.05 points, or 1.24% to 2,163.24

 

Events Calendar for Today

·     10:00 AM ET      NAHB Housing Market Index for July

 

Earnings Calendar:

·     Earnings Before the Open: AN, BMRC, CALM, GNTY, PLD, TSCO

·     Earnings After the Close: CCK, ELS, EQBK, FBK, FNB, IBM, JBHT, PACW, PPG, STLD, WTFC, ZION

 

 

Macro

Up/Down

Last

Nymex

-2.04

69.77

Brent

-1.99

71.60

Gold

-9.00

1,803.05

EUR/USD

-0.0032

1.1774

JPY/USD

-0.30

109.77

10-Year Note

-0.041

1.250%

 

 

World News

·     U.S. TIC report: foreigners bought a net total $105.3 B in assets in May, after purchases of $100.1 B (was $101.2 B) in April. But net long-term data showed sales of -$30.2 B in May after purchases of $100.7 B in April. Of those long-term flows, -$93.4 B in Treasury coupons were liquidated, while $37.8 B in agencies was purchased, along with $17.3 B in corporate bonds

·     OPEC and its allies struck a deal that allows for monthly supply hikes of 400k b/d until the end of 2021, putting the group back in control of the crude market. Starting in August, they’ll pump out an extra 400K barrels a day through the end of 2022, restoring all the cuts they made at the start of the COVID-19 pandemic. UAE will have a new baseline of 3.5m bpd, Iraq/Kuwait baselines will increase by 150k bpd each, Saudi/Russian baselines will be adjusted to 11.5m bpd

 

Sector News Breakdown

Consumer

·     Academy Sports and Outdoors (ASO) is more than a pandemic play, according to Barron’s saying interest in health and wellness has been enduring, and the company’s manageable debt level will allow it to open more brick-and-mortar stores

·     Cal-Maine Foods (CALM) Q4 EPS loss (-$0.09) below the $0.18 estimate; reports Q4 revenue $349.8M vs. est. $404.67M; average sales price for shell eggs was $1.32 per dozen for q4 compared with $1.58 per dozen for same period last year; said expect to see further volatility in market prices for our primary feed ingredients

·     Cruise operators Carnival Corp (CCL), Royal Caribbean Group (RCL) and Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings (NCLH) fall about 3% each premarket along with a decline in other European travel and leisure stocks on worries that the fast-spreading Delta variant could hamper travel demand and slow the ongoing global economic recovery

·     Veoneer (VNE) signed an agreement with LiDAR company Baraja to industrialize their Spectrum-Scan LiDAR technology for the next market wave of L2+ through L4 autonomous vehicle applications

 

Energy, Industrials and Materials

·     OPEC+ and its allies, including Russia, agree Sunday to further relax output curbs. Under the deal, announced following a virtual meeting of OPEC+ energy ministers, production will rise by 400,000 barrels a day each month beginning in August and would eventually undo all of the curbs put in place last year

·     Ingersoll Rand Inc. (IR) has made takeover bids for component maker SPX Flow Inc. (FLOW) that have so far been rebuffed, according to people familiar with the matter, the WSJ reported on Sunday. IR’s most recent all-cash offer valued SPX Flow in the low-$80s a share, the people said, or around $3.5 billion https://on.wsj.com/3kB1qlt

·     Proxy advisory firm Institutional Shareholder Services (ISS) has favored Brookfield Infrastructure Partners’ (BIP) offer for Inter Pipeline Ltd (IPPLF) in a blow to a rival bid from Pembina Pipeline Corp (PMB). During the past week, Brookfield raised its hostile offer for Inter Pipeline to about C$8.58 billion ($6.80 billion).

·     Alcoa (AA) upgraded to Conviction Buy from Buy at Goldman Sachs

 

Financials

·     Interactive Brokers Group (IBKR) introduces a new simple flat fee structure of a flat 3 EUR or 3 GBP per trade (trades up to 6,000 EUR/GBP in value) for stock trading in Europe

 

Healthcare

·     Amyris (AMRS), Zymergen (ZY), Soaring Eagle Acquisition (SRNG) are the three main stock plays on synthetic biology, which could become a huge market according to Barron’s this weekend

·     Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) is exploring a plan to offload liabilities from widespread Baby Powder litigation into a newly created business that would then seek bankruptcy protection – Reuters

·     Tempest Therapeutics (TPST) files $250M mixed securities shelf

 

Technology, Media & Telecom

·     Zoom Video Communications, Inc. (ZM) to acquire Five9, Inc. (FIVN) in an all-stock transaction valued at approximately $14.7 billion with FIVN holders to receive $200.28 per share; FIVN holders will receive 0.5533 shares of Class A common stock of Zoom Video Communications, Inc. for each share of Five9, Inc. https://on.mktw.net/3xRVVTf

·     SAP AG (SAP) is moving to cloud, and investors are yet to give company credit, according to Barron’s noting while the transformation will take time, the CEO expects to triple its revenue from the cloud by 2025, and 40% of cloud revenue has been coming from new clients

·     Telefonica SA (TEF) agreed to sell a stake in its Colombian fiber optic broadband network to KKR & Co. Telefonica will control 40% of the new venture, which will aim to bring high-speed internet access to about 90 cities in the next three years, and KKR the remaining 60%, the carrier said in a statement late Friday. The venture is valued at $500 million

·     Bill Ackman’s blank-check company Pershing Square Tontine Holdings (PSTH) had dropped a deal to buy 10% of Vivendi’s flagship Universal Music Group after U.S. regulators questioned its stake purchase of Universal Music.

·     DISH (DISH) signed a transformative, long-term strategic Network Services Agreement (NSA) with AT&T, making AT&T the primary network services partner for DISH MVNO customers

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Market commentary provided by Hammerstone Markets, Inc, a firm separate from and not affiliated with Regal Securities. Regal Securities has not participated in the creation of the content, and does not explicitly or implicitly endorse the content.

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