Early Look

Thursday, July 22, 2021

Futures	Up/Down	%	Last
Dow	83.00	0.24%	34,772
S&P 500	8.25	0.20%	4,359
Nasdaq	20.50	0.14%	14,848

 

 

Stock futures pointing higher, looking to make it a third straight day in a row of gains as optimism about earnings and the economic recovery outweighed Wall Street’s concerns about rising inflation and surging coronavirus cases. The yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury rose early Thursday to 1.287% after touching lows below 1.13% earlier this week. President Joe Biden, at a town hall in Cincinnati hosted by CNN, said Wednesday night “there will be near-term inflation” as the economy recovers but said he has been advised by his economic team that current price increases won’t last as demand returns to normal levels. Stocks advanced Wednesday as strong corporate earnings and renewed optimism about the U.S. economic recovery stoked investor risk appetite. All three major U.S. stock indexes appeared set to build on the previous session’s gains, which delivered the S&P 500’s best day since March, while the Russell 2000 SmallCap outperformed for a second day after trading in correction territory on Monday (defined as 10% down off record highs). With Wednesday’s advance, all three are within 1% of their all-time closing highs. Economically sensitive SmallCaps, semiconductors and financials outperformed the broader market as investors prep for another busy day of earnings. In Asian markets, The Nikkei Index rose 159 points to 27,548, the Shanghai Index gained 12 points to 3,574 and the Hang Seng Index jumped nearly 500 points (1.83%) to settle at 27,723. In Europe, the German DAX is jumps 125 points to 15,550, while the FTSE 100 rises about 15 points to move above the 7,000 level.

Market Closing Prices Yesterday

·     The S&P 500 Index gained 35.63 points, or 0.82%, to 4,358.69

·     The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 286.01 points, or 0.83%, to 34,798.00

·     The Nasdaq Composite jumped 133.08 points, or 0.92%, to 14,631.95

·     The Russell 2000 Index advanced 39.74 points, or 1.81% to 2,234.04

 

Events Calendar for Today

·     8:30 AM ET         Weekly Jobless Claims

·     8:30 AM EST      Continuing Claims

·     10:00 AM ET      Existing Home Sales MoM for June

·     10:00 AM ET      Leading Index MoM for June

·     10:30 AM ET      Weekly EIA Natural Gas Inventory Data

·     11:00 AM ET      Kansas City Fed Manufacturing for July

 

Earnings Calendar:

·     Earnings Before the Open: AAL, ABT, AEP, ALK, AUB, BANC, BCO, BIIB, BKU, BX, CADE, CLF, CROX, CSBR, DGX, DHI, DHR, DOW, EWBC, FAF, FCX, FITB, GPC, GTLS, HRI, HZO, IIIN, LUV, MMC, NEM, NUE, POOL, RS, SAFE, SON, T, TPH, TRN, UNP, VLY, WBS, WSO

·     Earnings After the Close: ABCB, ASB, BOOM, CBSH, CE, COF, CSL, CSTR, GGBC, INTC, MMLP, MSBI, OZK, RBNC, SAM, SBCF, SIVB, SNA, SNAP, TACO, TWTR, USX, VRSN, WRB, WSFS

 

 

Macro	Up/Down	Last
Nymex	0.63	70.93
Brent	0.62	72.85
Gold	-7.50	1,796.10
EUR/USD	-0.0007	1.1787
JPY/USD	-0.01	110.28
10-Year Note	+0.013	1.295%

 

 

World News

·     The U.S. Treasury Department is projected to exhaust its borrowing authority in October or November, the Congressional Budget Office said on Wednesday, as a fight between Democrats and Republicans over raising the nation’s debt ceiling erupted in Congress. A failure to work out differences over whether government spending cuts should accompany an increase in the statutory debt limit, currently set at $28.5 trillion, could lead to a federal government shutdown – as has happened three times in the past decade – or even a debt default.

 

Sector News Breakdown

Consumer

·     Las Vegas Sands (LVS) 2Q EPS loss ($0.25) vs est. ($0.17), adj property EBITDA $244Mm, revs $1.17B vs est. $1.41B, net revs from Macao $855Mm

·     Whirlpool (WHR) Q2 adj EPS $6.64 vs. est. $5.93; Q2 revs $5.32B vs. est. $5.05B; raises FY21 adjusted EPS view to $26.00 from $22.50-$23.50 (est. $23.73); boosts FY21 net sales growth to ~16% from ~13%; sees FY21 cash provided by operating activities of $1.95B

·     Stanley Black & Decker (SWK) raises quarterly dividend 13% to 79c from 70c per share

·     D.R. Horton (DHI) Q3 EPS $3.06 vs. est. $2.81; Q3 revs $7.3B vs. est. $7.19B; Q3 net sales decreased 17% to 17,952 homes and increased 2% in value to $6.4 billion compared to 21,519 homes and $6.3 billion in the same quarter of the prior year; sees FY21 consolidated revenue $27.6B-$28.1B vs. est. $27.4B

·     China is weighing an unprecedented penalty for Didi Global (DIDI) following its IPO last month, people familiar with the matter tell Bloomberg

 

Energy

·     Kinder Morgan (KMI) Q2 adj EPS $0.23 vs. est. $0.19; Q2 revs $3.15B vs. est. $2.88B; expects to meet or exceed the top end of the range provided last quarter for DCF and Adjusted EBITDA; anticipates generating 2021 DCF of $5.4 billion and Adjusted EBITDA of $7.9 billion.

·     TechnipFMC (FTI) Q2 adj EPS ($0.06) vs est. ($0.01) on revs $1.669B vs est. $1.6B, qtr-end backlog $7.3B, qtrly inbound orders $1.56B; guides FY subsea revs $5.2-5.5B, guides surface tech revs $1.05-1.25B vs total revs est. $6.452

·     Precision Drilling (PDS) Q2 EPS loss (C$5.71) vs. (C$3.56) a year ago; Q2 revs C$201M vs. C$189.76M a year ago

·     Chart Industries (GTLS) Q2 adj EPS 80c vs. est. 79c; Q2 revs $322.0M vs. est. $317.45M; raises FY21 adjusted EPS view to $3.80-$4.25 from $3.65-$4.15 (est. $3.91); raises FY21 revenue guidance to $1.38B-$1.43B from $1.36B-$1.41B

 

Financials

·     Cohen & Steers (CNS) Q2 adj EPS 94c vs. est. 86c; Q2 revs $144.27M vs. est. $131.17M; ending AUM of $96.2B, vs. $87.04B at previous quarter end – increase was driven by net inflows of $2.6B and market appreciation of $7.4B, partially offset by distributions of $769M

·     Discover Financial (DFS) 2Q EPS $5.55 vs est. $3.97, qtrly payment services volume $78.4B +22%, total loans ended qtr at $87.7B -1%, credit card loans ended qtr at $68.9B -2%, total net charge-off rt 2.12%; increases qtrly common stock dividend from $0.44-0.50/shr, approves share repurchase up to $2.4B

·     Equifax (EFX) 2Q adj EPS $1.98 vs est. $1.71 on revs $1.235B vs est. $1.16B; guides 3Q adj EPS $1.62-1.72 vs est. $1.65, raises FY adj EPS guide to $7.25-7.45 vs est. $7.05, sees FY revs $4.76-4.8B vs est. $4.675B

·     Globe Life (GL) 2Q EPS $1.92 vs est. $1.82; guides FY EPS $7.34-7.54 vs est. $7.29; says for FY at mid-point of guidance, estimate covid life claims between $53-55Mm

·     Moelis (MC) Q2 adj EPS $1.19 vs. est. $0.80; Q2 revs $360.9M vs. est. $273.8M; raises quarterly dividend by 9% to $0.60 and approves $100M share buyback

·     OneMain Financial (OMF) 2Q adj EPS $2.66 vs est. $2.19, NII $708Mm vs est. $769.1Mm; C&I managed receivables $18.3B, net charge-off ratio 4.41%, repurchased $35Mm in 2Q

·     SEI Investments (SEIC) 2Q EPS $0.93 vs est. $0.92 on revs $475.7Mm vs est. $464.7Mm

·     SL Green Realty (SLG) 2Q FFO/shr $1.60 vs est. $1.62, qtrly consolidated revs $218.1Mm vs est. $189.6Mm, op income $88.7Mm; same-store cash NOI including share of same-store NOI from unconsolidated JVs -3.7% yr/yr

·     SLM Corp. (SLM) Q2 core EPS $0.45 vs. est. $0.35; raises FY21 GAAP EPS view to $3.15-$3.25 from $2.95-$3.15; affirms FY21 private education loan origination y/y growth view of 6%-7% and lowers portfolio net charge-off view to $215M-$225M from $260M-$280M

·     Texas Capital (TCBI) 2Q EPS $1.31 vs est. $1.21; net interest income was $197.0 mln for q2 of 2021, compared to $200.1 mln for q1 of 2021

·     Triumph Bancorp. (TBK) 2Q adj EPS $1.17 vs est. $1.02, NII $90.3Mm vs est. $89.2Mm, net int margin 6.47%

·     Umpqua Holdings (UMPQ) Q2 EPS $0.53 vs. est. $0.44; Q2 loan loss provision ($23M) vs. $87.08M a year ago; Q2 net charge-offs ($13.6M) vs. ($16.16M) a year ago; tangible book value per share was $12.49 at quarter end from $12.10 at previous quarter end; board approves to repurchase up to $400M of stock

·     Ryan Specialty Group (RYAN) 57M share IPO priced at $23.50

·     Travelers (TRV) downgraded to Underperform from Buy at Bank America

 

Healthcare

·     Pfizer Inc. (PFE) said the FDA has notified the company that it will not meet the Prescription Drug User Fee Act (PDUFA) goal dates for the New Drug Application for abrocitinib for the treatment of adults and adolescents with moderate to severe atopic dermatitis and the supplemental New Drug Application for XELJANZ/XELJANZ XR (tofacitinib) for the treatment of adults with active ankylosing spondylitis

·     ICON Plc (ICLR) Q2 adj EPS $2.12 vs. est. $2.09; Q2 revs $871.2M vs. est. $855.9M; sees FY21 EPS $9.10-$9.50 vs. est. $8.71; Record net business wins in the quarter of $1,106 million, an increase of 21.6% year on year; a net book to bill of 1.27; record closing backlog of $10.2 billion, an increase of 12.7% year on year

·     Tenet Healthcare (THC) Q2 EPS $1.59 vs. est. $1.07; Q2 revs $4.95B vs. est. $4.79B; Q2 Same-facility system-wide ambulatory surgical cases were up 68.2% from last year; year adj EBITDA Outlook range now $3.15B-$3.25B, up from prior view of $3.0B-$3.2B, which excludes the projected gain on the sale of the Miami-area hospitals; year adjusted diluted EPS $5.23-$5.73 up from $4.12-$5.46 prior – shares fell as Q3 guidance falls below consensus

·     Absci (ABSI) 12.5M share IPO priced at $16.00

·     Natera (NTRA) 4.5M share Secondary priced at $113.00

·     Danaher (DHR) Q2 adj EPS $2.46 vs. est. $2.05; Q2 revs $7.22B vs. est. $6.72B; for q3 2021, anticipates that non-GAAP core revenue growth will be in mid- to high-teens percent range; for full year 2021, now anticipates that non-GAAP core revenue growth rate including Cytiva will be about 20%

 

Industrials & Materials

·     CSX Corp. (CSX) Q2 EPS $0.52 vs. est. $0.37; Q2 revs $2.99B vs. est. $2.93B; Q2 2021 operating ratio was 43.4% compared to 63.3% in prior year period; maintains full year revenue outlook and still sees year cap-ex $1.7B-$1.8B; Q2 expenses fall by 9% year-over-year to $1.30B

·     Graco (GGG) Q2 EPS $0.63 vs. est. $0.60; Q2 revs $507.2M vs. est. $475.94M; says initiating an outlook for full-year 2021 of mid-to-high teen sales growth on an organic, constant currency basis

·     Dow Inc. (DOW) Q2 EPS $2.72 vs. est. $2.30; Q2 revs $13.89B vs. est. $13.02B; qtrly packaging & specialty plastics segment net sales were $7.1 bln, up 78% versus year-ago period; industrial intermediates & infrastructure segment net sales were $4.2 bln, up 74% versus year-ago period; qtrly performance materials & coatings segment net sales were $2.5 bln, up 33% over year-ago

·     BHP (BHP) announced the signing of a nickel supply agreement with Tesla (TSLA).

·     Kaiser Aluminum (KALU) Q2 adj EPS $1.00 vs. est. $1.44; Q2 revs $741M vs. est. $519.18M; qtrly shipments 337 mln lbs vs 119 mln lbs; said automotive business is temporarily dampened as ongoing shortages of semiconductor chips affects N. American light vehicle production

·     Landstar (LSTR) Q2 EPS $2.40 vs. est. $2.32; Q2 revs $1.57B vs. est. $1.46B; actual revenue per load on loads hauled via truck in 2021 q2 compared to 2021 q1 increased 7.5%; sees Q3 EPS $2.20-$2.30 and revs $1.55B-$1.6B

·     UFP Industries (UFPI) 2Q EPS $2.78 vs est. $1.81 on sales $2.7B vs est. $2.26B, expects all segments to benefit from more stable pricing in 2022

·     Valmont Industries (VMI) Q2 adj EPS $3.06 vs. est. $2.50; Q2 revs $894.6M vs. est. $814.85M; sees FY21 adj EPS $10.40-$11.10 above consensus $9.89 and raises FY21 revenue growth view to 16%-19% from 9%-14%; expect meaningful sequential margin improvement in second half of 2021 as pricing becomes more aligned with steel cost inflation

·     XL Fleet Corp (XL) announced a battery and power electronics development and supply agreement and an investment in eNow, Inc., a provider of solar and battery power systems that enable fully-electric Transport Refrigeration Units for Class 8 commercial trailers

 

Technology, Media & Telecom

·     Texas Instruments (TXN) 2Q EPS $2.05 (incl $0.06 benefit not in guidance) vs est. $1.83 on revs $4.58B vs est. $4.35B; guides 3Q revs $4.4-4.76B vs est. $4.51B, sees 3Q EPS $1.87-2.13 vs est. $1.97

·     AT&T (T) Q2 adj EPS $0.89 vs. est. $0.79; Q2 revs $44B vs. est. $42.64B; for Q2, 789,000 postpaid phone net adds; 1,156,000 postpaid net adds; 174,000 prepaid phone net adds; Postpaid phone churn of 0.69%; sees 2021 revenue growth in the 2%-3% range

·     Instructure (INST) 12.5M share IPO priced at $20.00

·     Couchbase (BASE) 8.3M share IPO priced at $24.00

·     Zenvia (ZENV) 11.5M share IPO priced at $13.00

·     AT&T (T) said it would sell Vrio Corp, its DirecTV business unit in Latin America, to Argentina-based investment group Grupo Werthein after taking a $4.6B impairment charge

·     Crown Castle (CCI) AFFO/share $1.71 vs est. $1.66, qtrly site rental revs +8%; guides FY site rental revs $5.677-5.722B, raises FY21 AFFO view to $6.78-$6.89 from $6.74-$6.85 (est. $6.81)

·     NetGear Inc. (NTGR) shares fall -11%; Q2 adj EPS $0.66 vs. est. $0.71; Q2 revs $308.8M vs. est. $314.84M

·     Plexus Corp. (PLXS) Q3 EPS $0.95 vs. est. $0.97; Q3 revs $814.39M vs. est. $840.89M; Q3 GAAP operating margin of 4.5% and GAAP EPS of $0.95; sees Q4 EPS $1.13-$1.29 vs. est. $1.27; guides Q4 revs $875M-$915M vs. est. $903.24M; sees Q4 operating margin 4.8%-5.2%